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World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision

The 2012 Revision of World Population Prospects represents the latest global demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The full results of the 2012 Revision are presented in a series of two PDF volumes. In addition to online data and on CD/DVD, the first volume provides comprehensive tables displaying key demographic indicators for each development group, major area, region and country for selected periods or dates within 1950-2100; and the second volume contains demographic profiles presenting time series and plots covering the period from 1950 to 2100 for selected indicators for each country with at least 90,000 inhabitants in 2012 as well as for development groups, major areas and regions. This volume provides, for each country and area, a brief description of the data sources and demographic methods used to make the base-year estimates for each country or area. Key findings of the 2012 Revision are also included in each volume together with the projections assumptions, and a wall chart provides summary indicators for the most recent period.
 

Press Release

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Press Release (13 June 2013): "World Population to reach 9.6 billion by 2050 with most growth in developing regions, especially Africa".


Director's Statement

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). Every two years the United Nations makes an assessment of past, current and future population trends. This analysis is published in a recurrent series known as World Population Prospects. Today we are presenting you the latest in this series, which includes the data for 233 countries and areas of the world.


Press Conference

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). The world's population, now estimated at 7.2 billion, could reach 8.1 billion by 2025 and up to 9.6 billion by 2050, said a top United Nations population expert at a Headquarters press conference today.


Publications

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2014). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections. ESA/P/WP.235.
(New Addition on 27.Feb.2014)

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Highlights and Advance Tables. ESA/P/WP.228

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. ESA/P/WP.227

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables. ST/ESA/SER.A/336.
(06.Mar.2014 - Errata: Annex Tables A.20, A.21, A.23, A.24, A.26 and A.27 were updated)

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United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume II: Demographic Profiles. ST/ESA/SER.A/345.

Link

Raftery, A.E., N. Li, H. �evč�kov�, P. Gerland, and G.K. Heilig. 2012. "Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (35):13915-13921

Link

Raftery, A.E., N. Li, H. �evč�kov�, P. Gerland, and G.K. Heilig. 2012. "Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries. - Supporting information" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (35):1-7

 

PowerPoint Presentations (a complete list is available here)

Agenda

Breakfast Seminar of the Population Division at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA), 2-6 May 2012, San Francisco: World Population Prospects: How to take account of uncertainty. (Click below to download the PowerPoint presentations)

Heilig

Raftery

Gerland

PDF-File

Gerhard Heilig: Strategic Implications of Demographic Change in Asia. Analysis based on the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects.
Presentation at the conference on "Demographic Decline in Asia and the Future Regional Security". 24-25 May 2012, U.S. Naval War College, Newport, RI

 

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