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World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision

Figure 10: Total fertility by major regions, 1950-2100 (children per woman)

         

 

1950-1955

2005-2010

2045-2050

2095-2100

Africa

            6.60

            4.64

            2.89

            2.13

Asia

            5.82

            2.28

            1.88

            1.93

Europe

            2.65

            1.53

            1.91

            2.06

Latin America, Caribbean

            5.86

            2.30

            1.79

            1.93

Northern America

            3.33

            2.03

            2.07

            2.09

Oceania

            3.81

            2.49

            2.21

            2.02

 

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York

(Updated: 2 November 2011)

Select figure:  1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13  | 14 | 15
 

Key result: Between 2005-2010 and 2095-2100 total fertility is projected to decline significantly in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean and Oceania.

Figure 10 displays estimated and projected changes in total fertility by major region between the five-year periods of 1950-1955 and 2095-2100.

As can be seen from this chart, the World Population Prospects project total fertility to decline between now and the end of the century in all major regions, except Northern America and Europe.

A very significant fertility decline is projected for Africa - from 4.64 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.13 children per woman in 2095-2100.

The figure also illustrates that significant differences in total fertility between regions are projected to still exist in the 2045-2050 period. Africa's average total fertility is projected to be almost 3 children, while Europe's and Asia's total fertility is projected to be at about 1.9 children.

 
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