World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision

Population Division

Frequently Asked Questions

Data

Tables in EXCEL-Format

On-line Database

Detailed Indicators

Key Indicators

Tables (self-sorting)

Population Ageing

Figures

Country Profiles

Analytical Figures

Total Population

Population by Age and Sex

Population Ageing

Documentation

Definition of Regions

Special Aggregates

CD-ROM Meta-Information

Glossary of Demographic Terms

Methodology

Fertility: Probabilistic Method

Fertility-Change Model

Probabilistic Projections

Probabilistic Population Proj.

Total Population

Population Age 0-14

Population Age 15-64

Population Age 65+

UN Model Life Tables

Life Table Data

Analyses: Lexis-Plots

Analyses: Scatter-Plots

Analyses: Age-specific Mortality

Other Information

Order Form: CD-ROMs

World Urbanization Prospects

Publications: Previous Revisions

Contact: Projection Section

Projections of Total Fertility based on Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM)

BHM Projections of Total Fertility: Based on WPP2010 fertility estimates (Updated 7 April 2011)
Projections of Total Fertility: Median, 80% / 95% prediction intervals and high / low WPP fertility variant

Explanation: These charts are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of total fertility that have been carried out with fertility estimates from the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic trajectories of total fertility is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 100,000 trajectories of projected total fertility.

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York

This web site is best viewed at a screen resolution of at least 1280 x 1024 with a maximized window.
Copyright © 2009, 2010 by United Nations. All rights reserved.