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Selected Results


Software Tools

1. Figures: Input


Fertility-Change Model

Probabilistic Projections

Life Expectancy at Birth

Life-Exp.-Change Model: Female

Prob. Projections: Female

Prob. Projections: Male

Prob. Proj,: M/F gap

Prob. Proj.: M/F comparison

Prob. Projections vs. WPP2010

2. Figures: Results

Total Population

Population Age 0-14

Population Age 15-64

Population Age 65+

Child Dependency Ratio

Old-age Dependency Ratio

Total Dependency Ratio

3. Data

Input Data

Summary Output Data

Other Information

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Probabilistic Population Projections

based on the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects

This CD-ROM contains the 2nd Revision of Probabilistic Population Projections prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA). While the 1st Revision, published in early 2012, was based only on probabilistic projections of total fertility, this 2nd Revision also includes probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth for all countries that do not have a high prevalence of HIV/AIDS infections.
The probabilistic projections are based on the historical estimates of population by age and sex, fertility and mortality between 1950 and 2010 from the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

Fertility Change Model

Projections of Fertility

Projections of Female
Life Expectancy

Total population

Population age 0-14

Population age 65+

Child dependency ratio

Old-age dependency ratio

Total dependency ratio

The Probabilistic Population Projections provided on this CD-ROM are a result of ongoing methodological and demographic research - carried out by the Population Division in cooperation with researchers from the University of Washington and the National University of Singapore.

The projections are research results and must not be confused with the official 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

Disclaimer: This web site contains data tables, figures and technical notes from the Probabilistic Population Projections (PPP) of the United Nations Population Division. These documents do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

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