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Introduction

Highlights

Selected Results

Publications

Software Tools

1. Probabilistic Input Figures

Total Fertility

Life Expectancy at Birth

2. Probabilistic Output Figures

Total Population

Population Age 0-14

Population Age 0-19

Population Age 15-64

Population Age 20-64

Population Age 20-69

Population Age 65+

Population Age 70+

Total Dependency Ratios

Child Dependency Ratios

Old-age Dependency Ratios

Potential Support Ratios

3. Data

Input Data

Output Summary Data

Other Information

World Population Prospects:
The 2012 Revision

 

 

Probabilistic Population Projections based on the World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the total population for 233 countries or areas, 35 geographical aggregates and 4 World Bank income groups as of July 2013. The projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the (deterministic) high and low variant of the 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects, as well as the probabilistic median and the 80 as well as 95 percent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections.

Source: United Nations (2014). Probabilistic Population Projections based on the World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. Population Division, DESA. ST/ESA/SER.A/353. http://esa.un.org/unpd/ppp/

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